Introduction to the Fifty-Fourth Edition 6
2021 Outlook 8
2021 Strategy Calendar 10
January Almanac 12
January’s First Five Days: An Early Warning System 14
The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Ten Significant Errors in 70 Years 16
January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950 18
Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record 20
February Almanac 22
Market Behavior Under New Presidents 24
Market Charts of Post–Presidential Election Years 26
Post–Election Year Performance by Party 28
March Almanac 30
Post-Election Years: Paying the Piper 32
The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool 34
How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies 36
April Almanac 38
Dow Jones Industrials One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1901 40
S&P 500 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1930 42
NASDAQ, Russell 1000 & 2000 One-Year Seasonal Pattern Charts Since 1971 44
May Almanac 46
Summer Market Volume Doldrums Drive Worst Six Months 48
Top Performing Months: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials 50
“Best Six Months”: Still an Eye-Popping Strategy 52
MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results 54
June Almanac 56
Top Performing NASDAQ Months 58
Get More Out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD Timing 60
Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle 62
July Almanac 64
First Month of Quarters is the Most Bullish 66
2019 Daily Dow Point Changes 68
Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday 70
August Almanac 72
A Rally for All Seasons 74
Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning 76
Market Fares Better Under Democrats; Dollar Holds Up Better Under Republicans 78
Republican Congress and Democratic President is Best for the Market 80
September Almanac 82
Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined 84
A Correction for All Seasons 86
First-Trading-Day-of-the-Month Phenomenon 88
October Almanac 90
Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays 92
Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar 94
Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays 98
November Almanac 100
Fourth-Quarter Market Magic 102
Trading the Thanksgiving Market 104
Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After 106
December Almanac 108
Most of the So-Called January Effect Takes Place in the Last Half of December 110
January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December 112
Wall Street’s Only “Free Lunch” Served before Christmas 114
If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall 116
2022 Strategy Calendar 118
Directory of Trading Patterns & Databank
Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2021 121
Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2021 122
S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2021 123
Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2021 124
NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2021 125
Recent NASDAQ Composite Market Probability Calendar 2021 126
Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2021 127
Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2021 128
Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon 129
Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 187-Year Saga Continues 130
Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900 131
Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/NASDAQ Composite Since 1971 132
Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February 133
Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April 134
Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June 135
Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August 136
Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October 137
Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December 138
A Typical Day in the Market 139
Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis 140
Tuesday Most Profitable Day of Week 141
NASDAQ Strongest Last Three Days of Week 142
S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952 143
NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971 144
Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks 145
Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks 146
November, December and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span 147
November Through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run 148
Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows and Closes Since 1901 149
Standard & Poor’s 500 Annual Highs, Lows and Closes Since 1930 150
NASDAQ, Russell 1000 and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows & Closes Since 1971 151
Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 152
Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950 153
Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 154
Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950 155
Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950 157
NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971 158
NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971 159
Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979 160
Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979 162
10 Best Days by Percent and Point 164
10 Worst Days by Percent and Point 165
10 Best Weeks by Percent and Point 166
10 Worst Weeks by Percent and Point 167
10 Best Months by Percent and Point 168
10 Worst Months by Percent and Point 169
10 Best Quarters by Percent and Point 170
10 Worst Quarters by Percent and Point 171
10 Best Years by Percent and Point 172
10 Worst Years by Percent and Point 173
Strategy Planning and Record Section
Portfolio at Start of 2021 175
Additional Purchases 176
Short-Term Transactions 178
Long-Term Transactions 180
Interest/Dividends Received During 2021/Brokerage Account Data 2021 182
Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2021 183
Weekly Indicator Data 2021 185
Monthly Indicator Data 2021 187
Portfolio at End of 2021 188
If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will/Performance Record of Recommendations 189
Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised 190
G. M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival 191
G. M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist 192
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