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Trading on Sentiment


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Table of Contents

About the Author xi Preface xiii Acknowledgments xxiii PART ONE Foundations CHAPTER 1 Perception and the Brain 3 CHAPTER 2 Mind and Emotion 19 CHAPTER 3 Information Processing 30 CHAPTER 4 Sentimental Markets 47 CHAPTER 5 Finding Signal in the Noise 61 PART TWO Short-term Patterns CHAPTER 6 Information Impact 81 CHAPTER 7 Daily Reversals 99 CHAPTER 8 Weekly Deceptions 106 CHAPTER 9 The Only Thing to Fear 115 CHAPTER 10 Buy on the Rumor 127 PART THREE Long-term Patterns CHAPTER 11 Trends and Price Momentum 139 CHAPTER 12 Value Investing 151 CHAPTER 13 Anger and Mistrust 159 CHAPTER 14 The Psychology of Leadership 171 CHAPTER 15 Navigating Uncertainty 184 PART FOUR Complex Patterns and Unique Assets CHAPTER 16 Optionality 197 CHAPTER 17 Blowing Bubbles 205 CHAPTER 18 Timing Bubble Tops 218 CHAPTER 19 Commodity Sentiment Analysis 232 CHAPTER 20 Currency Characteristics 243 CHAPTER 21 Economic Indicators 254 CHAPTER 22 Sentiment Regimes 269 PART FIVE Managing the Mind CHAPTER 23 Mental Hygiene 283 Postscript 295 Appendix A Understanding the Thomson Reuters MarketPsych Indices 297 Appendix B Methods for Modeling Economic Activity 316 Glossary 323 Index 331

About the Author

RICHARD L. PETERSON is CEO of MarketPsych and a behavioral finance expert, investment adviser, psychiatrist, and consultant to the financial industry. His two previous books, Inside the Investor's Brain and MarketPsych, were named top financial books of the year by Kiplinger.

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